Alex Rudenko

To Avoid Another Munich, Europe Must Act to Secure Ukraine! 1. The inevitability of Russia prevailing is a myth. 2. There is no credible plan for Ukrainian (or European) security after any ‘ceasefire’. 3. Failing to win endangers all European allies. 4. The route to Ukrainian victory still exists. 5. Those who want to act, can. The course of action we propose is, for a coalition of willing nations within NATO to commit to enhance military and financial support to Kyiv and to recommit to the aim of a sovereign Ukraine within its borders recognised by international law, focused around a clear strategy and theory of victory. This is necessary to avoid any immediate detrimental effects in Ukraine after the election, which would aid Russia, to live up to our alliance commitments and take responsibility for our own security. The Council on Geostrategy, in conjunction with over 100 signatories including senior parliamentarians, former Ambassadors and security experts, initiated a public appeal encouraging the UK and other European nations to step up and provide the support Ukraine needs to secure victory against russia. The full text is available by the link in the first comment below.

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[If someone is still hesitant about supporting #Ukraine or trying to push Ukraine to negotiate with terrorist russia - russian, Chinese or Iranian missiles and drones could soon be falling on your heads too.] “The outgoing head of the army has called on the UK and Nato to wake up to the very real threat of a World War Three-style global conflict within five years. General Sir Patrick Sanders, the former chief of the general staff, insists the alliance may only have until the end of the decade to substantially re-arm to ward off a russian attack on its own soil. Sanders dubbed russia, China and Iran “the new Axis powers” but argued that they pose an even more lethal challenge than the Nazi alliance in 1939 as “they are more interdependent and more aligned than the original Axis powers were”. That has left the world facing “as dangerous a moment as any time that we’ve had since 1945”. … A new global conflict on the scale of the Second World War was “not likely but it is plausible”, he argued. Nato faces the threat of conflict in a series of flashpoints around the world; russia’s aggression in eastern Europe, with China — “a rising power that has territorial ambitions” — Iran’s destabilising activities in the Middle East, and with North Korea. Sanders explained: “Each of them has the potential for conflicts. And what links them all is they form an axis, so you have a new Axis powers. “The difference this time is that they are more interdependent and more aligned than the original Axis powers were. You’ve got the potential for a conflict that won’t look like World War Two, but could spread like cancer, will be global, and will operate at different levels of intensity in all the operational domains. “They may be low-likelihood but any of them would be a very, very high-impact event.” The general also believes the early stages of a global conflict could have already begun. “Putin has done most of the things that he said he would do,” he added. “He’s described his intentions to rule and dominate russia’s near abroad. So how likely is it? In some respects it’s already happening.” …

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The illusion of autonomy in russia’s ethnic republics Despite the russian constitution declaring all regions equal, ethnic republics enjoy slightly more autonomy, primarily economically, than other regions, according to Leyla Latypova, a journalist and activist from #Bashkortostan. russia contains 22 ethnic republics, including Chechnya, Tatarstan, and Bashkortostan, each named after its predominant #ethnic group. These republics, Latypova explains, are #former Autonomous Soviet Republics that retained their status within post-Soviet russia. While these republics experience strict federal control, their autonomy is largely nominal. In 2017, one of their few meaningful autonomous features - mandatory #native language education - was abolished in favor of russian-only instruction. 💡Many of these republics, subjugated by the russian Empire as early as the 15th century, have undergone centuries of ethnic cleansing and russian settlement. Consequently, their populations are mixed. Official censuses show varying percentages of indigenous populations: 53% Tatars in Tatarstan, 54% Bashkirs and Tatars combined in Bashkortostan, and 48% Yakuts in Sakha (Yakutia). Russian settlers constitute over 30% in most republics, with exceptions like Dagestan and Chechnya, where russians make up only 2-5%. Tap the link to read more https://lnkd.in/efKb3hFF #supportUkraine🇺🇦

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Trump’s peace deal is not a deal at all, but rather a buying time mechanism for Russia to regain strength, weaken Ukraine and strike again this time to completely take over all Ukraine and continue to attack NATO countries. Trump wants to reward the agressor and punish the victim. Afterall this will be a great «  thank you gift » to Putin for helping him in elections by spreading the propaganda in US. Those of you who will be voting for Trump, will be voting for violence, dictatorship, enslaving people of Ukraine, and allowing the dictators of the world to do what they want. This will be the end of democracy as we know it and the beginning of authoritarian regime. The WWIII in this case is imminent as Trump will pull out of NATO - giving Putin green light to « do what he wants to do » invade NATO and Xi Junping will invade Taiwan. This is the ultimate goal of our enemies - devide and conquer! If you vote Trump - you are killing America giving our enemies the weapon they need to take us out! #voteblue #Kamalawillwin #ukrainewillwin #stoprussia #russiakills #russiaisterroriststate #trumpiswwiii

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I interpret words from the film of the Centre for Eastern Studies (OSW): "russia will not stop if it gets good results in Ukraine". The Ukraine-russia war is only one part of the Russia-West conflict. Putin's Russia began its confrontation with NATO many years ago. In this film, head of the Centre for Eastern Studies' russian department Marek Menkiszak explains how we can defeat the Kremlin. What Russian sanctions are needed? Are the sanctions on Russia working as planned? Is a russia-NATO agreement possible? Are russia and the West really at war? What would a Western strategy look like? The full document is available on our website: https://lnkd.in/dVMbqpsa

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Since LinkedIn removed my yesterday's post about the victims of the Russian missile strike, I'll repost it with a more uplifting image of a brave Ukrainian kid in front of the Russian embassy during the demo in Berlin yesterday. For the last two years, I have met hundreds of brilliant people from Europe and the US in the startup, politics, and impact fields who clearly stand for the freedom of Ukraine, and I am deeply grateful to them. Today, you have likely heard about the massive missile attack in Ukraine and the strike on Ohmatdyt Children's Hospital. While I don’t have questions for Russian people (except for rare exceptions, as this is an unbreakable wall of non-empathy and propaganda), I have more and more questions for Western people: How can you feel safe when hundreds of missiles strike daily less than 1,200 km away from children's hospitals in Berlin? How can Western politicians live with such double standards? “We won’t give you more Patriot systems even though we have over 1,000 of them, and we are highly concerned about what happened in Ukraine.” How can you negotiate peace with an aggressor? “In the meantime, we won’t give you Taurus missiles because we don’t want to escalate the war.” How is it possible that the Prime Minister of Hungary shames the whole EU Parliament with his negotiations with Russia and China, and nobody cares? How did Russia take over the presidency of the United Nations Security Council? How can you feel tired of the war?

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Do you know that even now Boeing has R&D center in Ukraine? It's easy to check using Linkedin - filter Boeing employees by country, and you'll see around 100 people (primarily engineers) located in Ukraine. There is a good reason for that. Our country is well-known because the largest transport aircraft Antonov AN-225 "Mriya" was built in Ukraine (unfortunately destroyed in Feb'2022). And if to look a little bit into the history, I found the following statistics about aircraft manufacturing in ex-USSR in 1980: AN-26 - 152 (Kyiv, Ukraine) AN-72 - 1 (Kyiv, Ukraine) Tu-134 - 72 (Kharkiv, Ukraine) --- IL-76 - 50 (Tashkent, Uzbekistan) Tu-154 - 76 (Kuibyshev) YAK-40 - 10 (Saratov) YAK-42 - 6 (Saratov) IL-62 - 17 (Kazan) IL-86 - 2 (Voronezh) Total: 386. In Ukraine: 225 (more than 60%). Not many countries in the world produced the aircrafts (and especially unique transport aircrafts like AN-225 or AN-124 "Ruslan") due to the extreme complexity of the technologies in aviation and requirements to reliability and safety. And our home country is one of them. This allowed us to develop and scale UAV manufacturing and development, and as the result, even this year we built a few millions UAVs. If to talk about AI, it's not used in aircrafts, but the aviation industry has a lot of supply services where AI is actively used (e.g. related to routes and fuel consumption optimization, different passenger services, advanced analytics etc). That's where we, Data Science UA, can certainly help and find specialists with domain expertise. #ai #aimath #research #aistudy #airesearch #aireasoning #aviation #aiscience #antonov #boeing #aiaviation

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Here is a simple pragmatic reason why helping Ukraine win is not a charity, and why the world should do it as soon as possible. Whichever tyrant is about to make a decision to invade or not to invade, he weights the benefits of conducing a war, vs. the costs and the punishment that may come after. If Russia will not gain anything(goes back to 1991 international borders), and will have to pay for rebuilding Ukraine, the long-lasting peace in the world may be solidified. If Putin will get to keep any of the occupied territories, and will not be punished, it is 100% certainty he will start war again(e.g. to take Alaska back). And every tyrant in the world will be inspired to be aggressive by this precedent, and every ally will know they can be betrayed(Budapest Memorandum, anybody?).

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Kudos to Finland's President Alexander Stubb for laying out publicly a clear path to lasting peace in Ukraine and beyond! His four conditions—returning territory, providing security guarantees, punishing Russian aggressors for their crimes against Ukrainians, and ensuring reparations—are essential not just for justice but for preventing future conflicts. We must stop Russia's aggression and hold those responsible accountable. Ignoring these crucial steps now means risking ongoing wars and global instability later. #GlobalSecurity #StopRussianAggression

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Look at this guy. He’s a Ukrainian developer who built a $19.3B app His purpose? Prove The Silicon Valley wrong. The story of Jan Koum and what happened next: Jan Koum called his 9 years at Yahoo a prison sentence. His LinkedIn profile for this period said "did some work." Pure boredom that most of us can relate to. Jan moved from Ukraine to Mountain View at 16 He & his mother lived off food stamps He eventually studied programming Then he met his co-founder Brian while working at Ernst & Young Brian liked Jan's no-bs approach. Everyone else tried to bribe him with wine for a job. Over 9 years Jan & Brian played ultimate frisbee & worked together When they travelled it cost a fortune to call family If you called them and they didn't answer, you had to SMS them to find out what they were upto. So Brian made an app that showed someone's status. Disaster! In 2009, Apple introduced push notifications. Everything changed. Jan noticed people didn't just use his app to check their status... They used it to communicate what they were doing. Allowing them to message each other seemed an obvious next step. Adding messaging made Whatsapp user growth explode. Initial success came from Apple's app store. But Jan later decided to ignore Silicon Valley and focus on immigrants who didn't have iPhones. He built Whatsapp for Nokia phones when everyone else was focused on Apple. They added 328,767 users a day with this plan Silicon Valley stopped laughing at him Whatsapp was free & still is. Zucks then reached out to Jan. They had dinner. Then Facebook bought Whatsapp for $19.3B Facebook paid billions for this data: • 65 billion messages sent a day • Access to users’ contact lists • Personal information Data was worth more than revenue Whatsapp never spent a dollar on marketing They stood for the immigrant user that the rich, white, tech dudes ignored. They had 55 employees when they sold They had strong values (see pic) around how to treat users' data. 2 years after the Whatsapp sale Jan quit. He was pissed off that Facebook wanted to do things with user data that he swore never to do. Jan now keeps a low profile. • His social media has gone quiet. • A google search shows he rarely does interviews anymore. • He cruises around in his $200M superyacht Jan is proof that privacy is a luxury, and fame is a nightmare. Make some money then exit the matrix. --- Follow Snehil Chhabria for more! #whatsapp #startups #unicorn #meta #business #wealth #finance #investing #luxury #indiangdp #gdp #funding #zuckerberg src- Tim at Twitter

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Ukrainian developers have connected machine learning to the monitoring of Russian propaganda. The website https://warofwords.info/ offers a search for key Russian TV channels, RuTube, YouTube channels, and Telegram channels. Videos are fully transcribed, which can greatly facilitate the work of fact-checkers. Search by keywords, speakers, sources, types of resources, and specific TV shows are available. There used to be (and there are, and I use them) tools on Azure that allowed something similar, but the input level was higher purely technically. There were no options for such a detailed analysis of a specific range of sources. Features:  - Data available since 2013. I hope developers will expand the timeline. But it's still cool.   - The tool is not only focused on the Ukrainian agenda. Try searching 'Kazakhstan' and you'll see. - It operates in both Russian and English. - Compared to Google and Yandex searches, the output is often more relevant, as the segment is narrower. "Often" does not equal "always", don't forget about dorks and other useful things.  - Not all notable characters are marked in the databases, as the AI is still learning, but the key ones are easy to find.  - The database does not cover all TV channels of interest for research, but it includes the main ones.  - The tool is fast and user-friendly. Overall, this tool is valuable and deserves a spot in the browser bookmarks of fact-checkers and OSINT professionals.

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In my personal opinion - Ukraine was FORCED to cross russian border and take over some of the official russian territory. Who forced it? The USA, and potential presidency of Donald Trump - who openly speaks about "Minsk 3" style "freeze", that would allow russia to re-arm in 3 or 5 or maybe 8 years, and then finish up Ukraine. Just like it happened before with Minsk 1 and Minsk 2 - which both led to the current full-scale invasion. Though Biden/Sullivan administration is also to blame here - for Minsk 1/2 specifically back in 2014, when Biden was a VP, but also for current containment of war within Ukrainian territory - which is a recipe for defeat for Ukraine. In order to avoid Minsk 3 kind of freeze, where war is temporarily stopped at current front, and then conquered territories are basically awarded to the conqueror (as it de-facto happened with Crimea in 2014, and big parts of Donbass in 2015) - Ukraine must hold some of russia's territories. Russia will never be able to accept Minsk 3 in case it awards some of russian territories to Ukraine, thus the best way to make sure Minsk 3 doesn't happen - is capture of some russian territories. This capture, however, is very costly in terms of manpower and military equipment - which is busy now guarding part of Kursk region, while it is BADLY needed on Pokrovsk direction where russia is advancing every day, destroying town by town, and getting close to bigger towns like Pokrovsk itself (population 61 000 at year 2020), Tchasiv Yar (12 700) and eventually Kramatorsk (185 000) and Slovyansk (109 000).

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The Russian strike on Kyiv's hospitals was precisely calculated. The Kremlin deliberately targeted Kyiv's crucial children's hospital. This is an intentional war crime. Its timing was calculated and it was Putin's "message" to the world. ◾️ First of all, this is a message to China (Putin communicated with Xi Jinping just the other day in Astana), to India (Narendra Modi was in Moscow at that moment) and to the rest of the "non-Western" countries. The message is along the following lines: It is necessary to make friends with the strong. The strong is the one who can violate any rules and remain unpunished. The current world order is already dead and we need to negotiate anew, from the position of real power. Putin really believes that Russia is stronger than NATO - because NATO is afraid of Russia, not vice versa. Putin says: I broke the existing system, a new world order will be established, let's discuss this. ◾️ Message to Ukrainians: Capitulate, no one will protect you, there is nothing but suffering and death waiting for you outside Russia. ◾️ Message to the West: Putin hits children with a missile while presiding over the UN Security Council. It is hard to think of a more eloquent desecration of the international security system on the eve of the NATO summit. Putin says: your leaders are weak, they can do nothing, you can end up as bad as Ukraine. The NATO summit will not change anything. The U.S. has lost its leadership. I broke the system of international law and introduced the law of force. Today it is very clear that there is very little time left to stop Putin. If this does not happen, there will be completely new rules in the world. The ones by which Ukraine is now surviving and dying. Russia demonstrates these "new rules of the world order" in Ukraine - obey or die. Credits: Gerashenko

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F-16 pilots with experience are badly needed in Ukraine. The West managed to train 6 Ukrainian pilots over 2.5 years of full scale war. We don't need to wait another 2.5 years to learn how many more pilots could be trained. Ukraine has International Legion and they should be able to accommodate professionals who know how to deal with Russian aviation. Moreover, Ukraine need help of instructors, mission planners, technical crews, advisors who might be able to tell what upgrades those F-16 need and where to order them.

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«Why is everything allowed for them?» wondered the RUSSIAN FENCER, who, for whatever reason (🤡), did not participate at the competition on behalf of her country. Fencer Maya Guchmazova, who represents ❗️Georgia, but is actually an ordinary fugitive from russia, lost to Ukrainian athlete Olena Kryvytska. Thereafter, the most interesting thing began: Olena #refused to do the traditional sword salute with her rival from russia. This caused a storm of russian emotions and exclamation: "F****, why are they acting this way? F***, why can they do anything they want, are they out of their minds? F*** up. "WHY CAN THEY DO EVERYTHING?" ❗️During the 10 years of war, russia k!lled at least 790 Ukrainian children ❗️ The occupiers razed the town of Marinka, which had approximately 10,000 people before the full-scale invasion. Currently, there is not a #single surviving building left in the city, and there is officially #no resident there. ❗️As a result of the Kakhovka HPP destruction by the russian military, almost a #hundred Ukrainian settlements were flooded; #dozens of people died; the draining of a giant reservoir led to the deaths of numerous fish and animals; and there was a change in the climatic regime of the region. The amount of direct losses is at least $2 billion. ❗️Russians dec@pitate and shoot soldiers of the Ukrainian Armed Forces instead of taking them prisoner. And #more than 90% of Ukrainian prisoners are t0rtured and inhum@nely treated by russians. Credits spravdi.gov.ua #supportUkraine🇺🇦

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