Our latest Risk HQ summary is out from Justin P., and includes macro insights, recent rating portfolio performance trends, and forward-looking portfolio outlooks by sector. The turn of the global monetary policy cycle this year has been a significant contributor to investor confidence and a fairly benign global credit environment. But geopolitical and political risks, deflationary pressures in China and capital market volatility risks persist, and our base-case economic forecasts include deceleration of US and Chinese economic growth in 2025. Key risks to global credit outlined in the report have been updated to reflect the latest macroeconomic data, ratings trends and capital markets activity but remain broadly the same. These risks include Capital Market and Funding Instability, Geopolitics, Governance and Policy, and China Macro and Real Estate. Summary at https://lnkd.in/eJFFqAut, and the full report online at https://lnkd.in/gauF6VA, both free-to-air. As ever, the full report is downloadable as a PDF by subscribers from https://lnkd.in/er4-ijej #fitchoncredit #macro #creditratings #interestrates #keyrisks #riskmanagement
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We are pleased to present our latest report, developed by the Global Markets Team: "Impact of Federal Reserve Interest Rate Cuts (1973–2024) on Yield Curve Inversions and U.S. Treasury Bonds: Implications for Market Outcomes Following the Recent Rate Cut." Key insights include: Analyzing the effects of historical rate cuts on yield curve dynamics 📉 Exploring macroeconomic signals during recessions 💡 Discussing implications for market outcomes and investor strategies 📊 We would like to recognize the invaluable contributions of: Zhi Yu Yap - Global Markets Research Analyst Laurens de Bont - Global Markets Research Analyst Nidhi Mehta - Global Markets Research Analyst Their expertise and dedication were fundamental to the success of this report. Explore the full report for in-depth insights into economic trends and policymaking!
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✍️ 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟰 𝗬𝗲𝗮𝗿 𝗶𝗻 𝗥𝗲𝘃𝗶𝗲𝘄 Financial markets ended 2024 with a strong performance despite unfavourable macroeconomic and geopolitical environment. In this article, we will review the key highlights of 2024 covering macro factors, geopolitics, economies, and financial markets. https://lnkd.in/eRJmnwym #financialmarkets #financialplanning #islamicfinance
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Over the last 2 years, the global macroeconomic environment has been characterised by a confluence of challenges. Increasing inflations and geopolitical tension concerns have resulted in tightening labour markets and supply chain bottlenecks. This article by S&P Global Market Intelligence they delve into their ratings discoveries, Early-Warning Signals framework and how this can help to distinguish between companies genuinely at risk of defaulting and those that will ultimately survive. Learn more here 👉 http://spr.ly/6041xPe2d #RiskMinds #riskmanagement #macroeconomicenvironment #labourmarkets #globalrisk
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From S&P Global Ratings: As #economic soft landings materialize in many major economies and policy interest rates begin their descent, #GlobalCredit conditions look set to remain supportive in 2025—with the caveats that there will be region- and country-specific divergence, and a backdrop of geopolitical uncertainty that threatens to reignite risk-aversion among investors and affect capital flows. Download the full report for further insights: https://okt.to/yq1E7K
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Join S&P Global at our upcoming live webinar to address the questions that will shape 2025 including #monetaryeasing #sovereigndebt #globaltrade #commodities
Join us next Friday, January 24 as S&P Global Ratings’ Global Credit Outlook 2025 presents our credit and macroeconomic outlooks for the year ahead, including our base-case forecasts, assumptions, and key risks. At a time when key themes and risks appear to be increasingly interconnected, we invite you to explore the depth and breadth of expertise offered by our analysts and experts as we scan the horizon of what promises to be another challenging period for global markets. Register Today! https://okt.to/jClx2T
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Curious Fact: Global economic trends have a profound impact on securities lending dynamics, influencing market liquidity and lending rates. 🌍💹 In fact, fluctuations in global economic conditions can lead to a 15% variation in lending volumes annually. Shifts in economic policies, geopolitical developments, and market conditions create both opportunities and challenges in the securities lending landscape. Staying ahead of these trends is crucial for optimizing investment strategies and ensuring robust risk management. Join us at the Collateral Management And Securities Lending Forum on October 9 – 10, 2024, to gain a comprehensive understanding of how global economic trends affect securities lending. Learn from leading economists and industry experts who will provide in-depth analyses and actionable insights to help you adapt your strategies accordingly. Stay informed and network with industry peers to share experiences and solutions. 🤝 Reserve your seat today and position your organization for success in a dynamic global economy: https://lnkd.in/di45imay #FlemingCMF #GlobalEconomy #SecuritiesLending #InvestmentStrategy
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Financial markets are poised for a challenging 2025, navigating corporate transformations, geopolitical uncertainties, and economic resilience. Key factors like government policies, market dynamics, and global events will significantly impact major sectors including oil, gold, the US dollar, and cryptocurrencies. Read More: https://bit.ly/4iOqD7J #NoorCapital #EconomicUpdates #MarketUpdates #GlobalEconomy
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The International Monetary Fund released this week a chapter of its October 2024 Global Financial Stability Report showing how macroeconomic #uncertainty can have profound effects on #financialstability by magnifying downside tail risks. The chapter emphasizes that, as #financialconditions may not fully capture macroeconomic #uncertainty, #systemicrisk assessment frameworks like growth-at-risk should consider explicitly incorporating #uncertainty measures. Importantly, macroeconomic #uncertainty appears to amplify the adverse effects of #financialvulnerabilities--such as #leverage--as well result in cross-border #spillovereffects via trade and financial #interlinkages. #GFSR #monetarypolicy #inflation #fiscalpolicy #macroprudentialpolicies #geopoliticaluncertainty
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November was a dynamic month for global markets, driven by contrasting economic narratives. The outcome of the US election was the key influence on market performance in November. Donald Trump’s presidential win, heightened expectations that the upcoming administration’s policies would reinforce American economic and market dominance. Outside the US, the election results were met with a more cautious response, particularly in global markets that depend heavily on trade relations with the United States. Europe maintained its measured easing approach amid improving sentiment, and commodities displayed resilience. Amid these developments, central bank policies and geopolitical factors continued to shape the investment landscape. Below is the November 2024 Market Report from the AUEB Students' Investment and Finance Club. Inside, you’ll find: 1) Comprehensive coverage of macroeconomic trends across major economies. 2) Detailed analysis of Equities, Commodities, Fixed Income, and Foreign Exchange, supplemented by insightful charts. 3) Performance summary matrices for various assets, presenting Closing prices, Month-over-Month (MoM) changes, and Year-to-Date (YtD) Returns. Explore the insights and trends shaping global markets this November!
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🌟 Global Markets - Fortnightly Report is Out! 🌟 We are excited to announce the release of our latest report covering: 📈 Equity: Comprehensive analysis across 21 global markets. 📊 Commodities: Insights into performance trends in gold, oil, and more. 📉 Bonds: Examination of bond markets worldwide. 💱 Currencies: In-depth look at currency fluctuations and trends. Gain insights from our esteemed guest, Mr. Ram Narayanan, a highly regarded leader in the commodities sector. Ram Narayanan, also a seasoned economist with his finger on the pulse of the global economy, shares his perspectives on the UK, ECB, and France elections and provides insights into the run-up for the US election. Please note the first part of the interview was recorded before UK & France results and immediately after US Presidential debate as the coverage is two weeks. 🔍 Special Reports: 1. 🇮🇳India: A Prime Investment Destination: Discover why India stands out as a top choice for global investors 2. Economic and Business Impact of Recent Elections in 🇬🇧UK, 🇪🇺EU, 🇫🇷France & runup for 🇺🇸US Election: Analyze how these elections are shaping economic and business landscapes and going to impact your Investment 3. Gold & Oil Special Coverage: Special coverage on Gold & Oil and insights from Mr. Ram Narayanan, on the political changes impacting global economies, and businesses, with a detailed discussion on the commodities markets 4. The Decline of the 🇯🇵Japanese Yen: Explore the factors contributing to the yen's depreciation against major currencies over recent years. Don't miss out on these crucial insights! Click the link below to view the full report. https://lnkd.in/dpKdH-2E
Global Markets - Fortnightly Report
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