Steven Holden’s Post

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Founder of Copley Fund Research

China's Big Impact on EM Active Fund Performance China’s remarkable rally following last month’s stimulus announcements has had a pronounced impact on EM active fund returns. Below is a scatter chart showing China & HK fund weights versus September returns, highlighting a clear positive correlation. From an allocation standpoint, Value funds were the star performers, returning 6.8% on average for September after moving to overweight during the early part of 2024. However, top performers came from a variety of strategies. Leading the way were: •Morgan Stanley Developing Opportunity Fund (Aggressive Growth) • Redwheel Global Emerging Markets (GARP) • Arga Emerging Markets Fund (Value) • Pzena EM Select Value • Virtus NFJ Emerging Markets Value Holding a China overweight took real conviction while most of the market remained underweight amid widespread bearish sentiment. Copley Fund Research Limited #emergingmarkets #activemanagement #investing #stockmarkets #China

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Souvik Biswas, CIMA®

Fund Research & Selection, Multi-manager Investment Solutions, ex-HSBC, ex-D.E. Shaw

5mo

I have mixed views about seeing 'conviction' through country selection lens. I remember a global equity manager being underweight US by 30%+ during 2013 and after, due to valuation reasons. Not illogical imo. You can imagine how that played out. Pzena and Arga being value houses, not really unexpected, isn't it.

Jamie Carter

Partner and Managing Director at Variis Partners

5mo

Out of interest Steven Holden , where do you collect the universe data from? Morningstar/Lipper, or something similar? How much of the EM manager universe do you think is captured here?

As an avid EM investor, I'm thrilled to see China's rally boosting fund performance. It's a reminder that patience and contrarian thinking can pay off. I've always believed in China's long-term potential, despite short-term challenges. This data validates the importance of maintaining exposure to the world's second-largest economy. It's fascinating to see how different strategies, from Value to Growth, benefited. Kudos to those fund managers who had the courage to go against the grain!

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