ACAPS

📰 Latest needs analyses on #Myanmar, #Afghanistan, #Ukraine & #Yemen Myanmar earthquake: Sagaing & Mandalay—already among the most conflict-affected regions—are now the hardest hit by the recent earthquake. With 2.7 million and 2.1 million people previously in need in these two regions respectively, we analyse the impact of the earthquake while providing two pre-crisis profiles. Also in this newsletter: ✔️ US foreign aid cuts: two reports on the implications for Afghanistan and Ukraine. ✔️ Ukraine: three scenarios through December 2025. ✔️ Yemen: food & nutrition security crisis risks – a joint report by ACAPS, FAO, UNICEF, World Food Programme, World Health Organization, and The World Bank. ✔️ Burundi, Ethiopia & Malawi: latest developments affecting people's needs. ⬇️Read the full content below 📧Stay informed—subscribe to receive updates on humanitarian crises: https://lnkd.in/eT3yqrJz #NeedsAnalysis #HumanitarianAid #CrisisResponse #MyanmarEarthquake #Ukraine #Afghanistan #Yemen #FoodSecurity #USaidFreeze #FundingCuts #ForeignAid #Burundi #Malawi

🚨 INFORM Severity Index is now part of HDX Signals🚨— helping the humanitarian community stay ahead of emerging crises with smarter, faster alerts! HDX Signals has rolled out automated notifications for the INFORM Severity Index—sent when a country's score rises above 3 and exceeds its highest value recorded in the past 12 months. Each alert includes: ✅A timeline of change ✅Contextual insights 📊 The INFORM Severity Index enables comparisons of crisis severity globally, assesses humanitarian access, and highlights population needs—making it a powerful tool for response planning and prioritisation. 🔗 Sign up for HDX Signals here: https://lnkd.in/eQ9bBTzt 🙏 Huge thanks for this exiciting collaboration OCHA Centre for Humanitarian Data and Leonardo Milano, and for help amplify the impact of our work! #DataScience #HumanitarianAid #HDXSignals #EmergencyResponse #humdata #data4good #CrisisData #EarlyWarning #DataThatMatters #StayInformed

What does the future hold for Ukraine’s humanitarian landscape in 2025? ACAPS’ newly released Ukraine Scenarios Report offers critical insight into how the war might evolve and what that means for humanitarian needs and operations through December 2025. Three plausible futures are explored: Continued War Without Resolution – The most likely scenario, where attritional fighting, limited international aid, and slow displacement shape a prolonged humanitarian crisis. Reduction of Hostilities – A fragile ceasefire allows for cautious recovery, but weak enforcement and contested territories threaten peace prospects. Escalating War – A stark outlook where the withdrawal of US support leads to intensified Russian advances, nationwide strikes, and severe humanitarian consequences. Regardless of the path taken, the common thread is clear: humanitarian needs will remain high, especially among IDPs, those near the frontlines, and civilians in Russian-occupied areas. Dwindling humanitarian funding, reduced access, and compounding factors like winter and attacks on energy infrastructure only deepen the risks. The report is a sobering but essential tool for humanitarian actors, donors, and policymakers striving to stay ahead of the curve and adapt their strategies in an ever-evolving crisis. Read the full report here: https://lnkd.in/e6VVPGJ7 #Ukraine #HumanitarianResponse #ACAPS #ScenarioPlanning #CrisisAnalysis #HumanitarianNeeds #ConflictSensitivity #UkraineWar #NGOs #IDPs #HumanitarianAccess

▶️ #HNPW session recording now available: "Flying blind? The impact of the US funding freeze on humanitarian data" How do we prioritize with fewer resources? How will the sector pivot without the data to understand how crises are evolving? These pressing questions were at the heart of an expert panel at #HNPW, led by ACAPS CEO Lars Peter Nissen alongside colleagues from Ground Truth Solutions, HERE-Geneva, and Humanitarian Outcomes. Now, you can catch up on the full conversation! 🎥 Watch the session here: https://lnkd.in/e6vT2UBa #HumanitarianData #FundingFreeze #HNPW2025 #USaidFreeze #DataForGood #ImpactAnalysis #CrisisResponse #HumanitarianAid #H2HNetwork #data4dev #tech4good

#Afghanistan: “With the announcement on the US funding freeze, we forget what came before, like the ban on women becoming nurses, doctors, and midwives. The medium-term impacts are coming very fast.” We analyse the implications of the US aid freeze and subsequent cuts on humanitarian programming in the country, with a focus on how this affects humanitarian response capacity and #Afghans. 🔗Download analysis: https://lnkd.in/eyMzsDYY 📧 Stay informed—subscribe to Afghanistan Analysis Hub newsletter: https://lnkd.in/eqyDSirj #AfghanistanCrisis #HumanitarianAid #USaidFreeze #FundingCuts #ImpactAnalysis #CrisisResponse

📑 #Ukraine: What happens when critical foreign aid is suddenly cut off? How will Ukraine’s humanitarian and development programmes cope with funding gaps?What’s the impact on the affected communities? Since 2022, Ukraine has been among the top recipients of US foreign assistance, receiving over USD 38 billion in humanitarian, development, and government funding (excluding military assistance). With most of this funding now at risk, the cuts will likely cause severe service gaps, leaving communities with unmet basic needs and threatening both immediate humanitarian outcomes and the long-term safety and well-being of millions of Ukrainians. 🔗 Read more, download analysis: https://lnkd.in/e3zvhvqg 📧 Stay informed—subscribe to Ukraine Analysis Hub newsletter & receive our analysis in Ukrainian + English: https://lnkd.in/edry7dUX #UkraineConflict #HumanitarianAid #USAID #USaidCuts #AidCuts #ForeignAid #HumanitarianCrisis #Development #UkraineCrisis

Whatever the way forward, a new framework to organise international support for people affected by crisis should deliberately and firmly combine human rights and humanitarian principles. It's absurd to discuss community engagement and accountability, without acknowledging the political realities people live in. Setting up "common feedback mechanisms" without considering freedom of speech, is a bit pointless. I'm quite proud of the work I was involved in for the last couple of years, together with Claudia Manili Angeliki Nika at ACAPS and Emily Cowlrick and Irene Scott at Internews, helping to map out the "information environment" of a humanitarian crisis, including indicators around safety for journalists. More about this work here: https://lnkd.in/e7yGp4hN I hope, for instance, the UN Charter Reform Coalition is taking this into account.

#Colombia: located in the southern region of the country and part of the Amazon Basin, Putumayo is facing an increasing public health crisis due to the spread of vector-borne diseases. Environmental, structural, and conflict-related factors heighten the risk of severe health impacts and humanitarian consequences. Some key findings: ➡️ Insufficient vaccination coverage against yellow fever in adults leaves a significant portion of the population highly vulnerable to severe outbreaks. ➡️ Weak disease surveillance and response systems delay early detection and containment efforts Read the full report: https://lnkd.in/d3UUU-XH

🚨#Myanmarearthquake 🚨 Our team has published a pre-crisis profile of Mandalay, the epicenter of the 7.7-magnitude earthquake that struck Myanmar on 28 March. Key insights: 🔹 2.1 million people were already in need in #Mandalay - the 3rd highest in Myanmar. 🔹Ongoing conflict and past floods (June–Oct 2024) had already strained communities in affected Mandalay townships. 🔹Earthquake damage to WASH infrastructure plus heat-induced water shortages could increase AWD & waterborne diseases. Stay informed! Read the full report 👇 https://lnkd.in/eUNV7C7z

#Myanmar: what are the implications of the US funding freeze, and how does it affect health needs in the country? ➡️ The health sector is among those severely affected with cuts to malaria, tuberculosis, and HIV treatment and prevention; maternal, child, and other vital health programming.  ➡️ The termination of this assistance will have significant implications in the countyr, where nearly 13 million people (out of a population of 54 million) need #humanitarian health assistance. Download the full report: https://lnkd.in/d-CTXVGi