はてなキーワード: willとは
So, the Expo 2025 is actually happening, like, right now. It started a week ago. They've got this massive wooden ring structure that's apparently the biggest in the world or something. Looks kind of cool in the pictures, I guess, like something out of an old temple but huge.
The theme is "Designing Future Society for Our Lives". Sounds ambitious. Lots of talk about saving lives, empowering lives, connecting lives... all that jazz. They want it to be a "People's Living Lab" where they show off new tech for things like carbon neutrality and next-gen mobility. Over 160 countries are supposed to be there, showing off their ideas for the future.
But honestly? I keep reading about problems. Heard the test runs had massive lines, which sounds like a nightmare, especially worrying about heatstroke in summer. Ticket sales seemed slow before it opened, with lots of companies buying them up instead of regular people. Makes you wonder how excited the average person really is. Plus, the costs ballooned, almost double what they first thought.
And apparently, they plan to tear most of it down afterwards? Seems like a huge amount of effort and money for something temporary. Though they say they'll reuse materials. Still, feels a bit weird.
Will it actually be good? Or just another big, expensive event that causes traffic jams? Guess we'll see. Just feels like there's not much buzz compared to the last time Osaka had an Expo way back when.
Laziness: The quality that makes you go to great effort to reduce overall energy expenditure. It makes you write labor-saving programs that other people will find useful and document what you wrote so you don't have to answer so many questions about it.
Impatience: The anger you feel when the computer is being lazy. This makes you write programs that don't just react to your needs, but actually anticipate them. Or at least pretend to.
Hubris: The quality that makes you write (and maintain) programs that other people won't want to say bad things about.
「怠惰」を美徳とする元々の文脈では、「後先めんどくさいことにならないように、今努力する」ことを怠惰と呼んでいたので、本当の意味で怠けることは意味していない
Laziness: The quality that makes you go to great effort to reduce overall energy expenditure. It makes you write labor-saving programs that other people will find useful and document what you wrote so you don't have to answer so many questions about it.
Studio Ghibli, the legendary Japanese animation studio, has produced some of the most beloved animated films of all time. From Spirited Away to My Neighbor Totoro, these movies enchant audiences with their breathtaking animation, deep storytelling, and emotional depth. If you're wondering where to watch Studio Ghibli movies legally, this guide will cover all the streaming platforms, physical media options, and theatrical screenings available worldwide.
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1. Streaming Platforms for Studio Ghibli Movies
A. HBO Max (Now Max) – United States
In 2020, HBO Max secured exclusive streaming rights to Studio Ghibli films in the U.S. After HBO Max rebranded to Max in 2023, the entire Ghibli catalog remains available. use a VPN to unbloked ghibli moviee
Included Films:
• Howl’s Moving Castle
• Ponyo
• The Wind Rises
• And many more!
Availability: All films are offered in both subbed (Japanese with English subtitles) and dubbed (English voiceovers) versions.
B. Netflix – Select Regions (Outside the U.S.) Use VPN to acces this Platfrom.
While Max holds U.S. rights, Netflix has Studio Ghibli films in several countries, including:
• Japan
• Canada
• Australia & New Zealand
• Parts of Europe & Latin America
Note: Availability varies by region, so check your local Netflix library.
C. Amazon Prime Video (Rent/Buy)
If a Ghibli film isn’t on a streaming service in your country, Amazon Prime Video often offers rentals or purchases. Prices typically range from
3.99
t
o
3.99to14.99 per movie.
D. Apple TV, Google Play, Vudu, Microsoft Store
Similar to Amazon, these platforms allow digital purchases or rentals of Studio Ghibli films.
2. Physical Media: Blu-rays & DVDs
For collectors, physical copies provide the best quality and bonus features
A. GKIDS & Shout! Factory Releases (North America)
GKIDS, in partnership with Shout! Factory, distributes official Blu-rays and DVDs of Studio Ghibli films in the U.S. and Canada.
Key Features
Both Japanese and English audio
Special features (interviews, documentaries, trailers)
Where to Buy:
Best Buy
Barnes & Noble
Right Stuf Anime (for collectors)
B. StudioCanal Releases (UK & Europe)
In Europe, StudioCanal handles Ghibli’s physical releases. They offer 4K Ultra HD, Blu-ray, and DVD editions.
Where to Buy:
Zavvi
C. Madman Entertainment (Australia & New Zealand)
Madman distributes Ghibli films in Australia and New Zealand.
3. Theatrical Screenings & Special Events
Studio Ghibli films occasionally return to theaters for special screenings.
A. Fathom Events & GKIDS Theatrical Releases
GKIDS frequently partners with Fathom Events to bring Ghibli films back to U.S. theaters.
Check Fathom Events’ website or local theaters for upcoming showings.
B. Ghibli Fest (Annual Event)
Every year, GKIDS organizes Ghibli Fest, a series of theatrical re-releases. Past years have included:
Spirited Away (20th Anniversary)
Nausicaä of the Valley of the Wind
C. International Film Festivals
Some film festivals, like TIFF (Toronto International Film Festival) or Japan Society (NYC), host Ghibli retrospectives.
4. Free Legal Options (Limited Availability)
While most Ghibli films require purchase or subscription, some platforms offer limited-time free viewing.
A. Tubi (Ad-Supported Free Streaming)
Tubi occasionally rotates Studio Ghibli films in its catalog. Check periodically for availability.
B. Pluto TV (Ghibli Channel in Japan)
In Japan, Pluto TV has a dedicated Studio Ghibli channel. A VPN may be required for access outside Japan.
5. Studio Ghibli’s Official Platform: Ghibli Museum & Ghibli Park
If you’re in Japan, visiting the Ghibli Museum (Mitaka, Tokyo) or the newly opened Ghibli Park (Aichi) offers exclusive short films not available elsewhere.
Ghibli Museum: Features The Whale Hunt and other exclusive shorts.
Ghibli Park: A theme park with immersive exhibits based on Ghibli films.
6. What About Piracy? Why You Should Avoid It
While illegal streaming sites may offer Ghibli films for free, they:
Harm the creators (Studio Ghibli relies on legal sales).
Offer poor quality (low resolution, incorrect subtitles).
Supporting official releases ensures that Studio Ghibli can continue making beautiful films.
Final Verdict: Best Way to Watch Studio Ghibli Movies
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Method Best For Availability
Max (HBO Max) U.S. streaming Full Ghibli library
Netflix International viewers Varies by country
Blu-ray/DVD Collectors & best quality Worldwide (GKIDS/StudioCanal)
Theaters (Ghibli Fest) Big-screen experience Limited-time screenings
Digital Purchase Owning digital copies Amazon, Apple, Vudu
Whether you prefer streaming, physical copies, or theatrical experiences, there are plenty of legal ways to enjoy Studio Ghibli’s magical films. Max (U.S.) and Netflix (international) are the top streaming choices, while GKIDS Blu-rays offer the best home viewing experience. Keep an eye on Ghibli Fest for special cinema screenings!
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電車やバスで日常的に耳にするけど、収録済みの音声ではなく運転手や車掌によるアナウンスの場合、完全に日本人英語、カタカナ英語、Janglishなんだよね。
The next stop is ***. Doors on the leftside will open.ではなくて、「ザ ネクスト ストップ イズ ***. ドアーズ オン ザ レフトサイド ウィル オープン」なんだよね。
いや分かるよ。彼らの本務はあくまで人と荷物の安全な輸送だから。英語学習に力を割いても業績は上がらないから。
でも、本来的な「日本語を解さない人に配慮した車内放送」という目的に鑑みると、ネイティブ並みの発音は無理だとしても、最低限の意識づけは必要だと思うのよ。
日本語のようになんでもかんでも母音をつけるのではなく、子音でスパっと単語を終わらせるとか、リエゾンを意識するとか、文の中での強弱・抑揚をはっきりさせるとか。
まあ、今となっては英語なんてノンネイティブのほうが圧倒的に多い言語なわけだから、「んなもん知らんわ、これが日本じゃ」と開き直るのも正解かもしれないけど。
今後アメリカと取引したければ多様性を尊重とか誰一人取り残さないとか包括とか差別禁止とかポリコレは
一切やめるということになります。
まあ常識的に考えて子供を産みもしないLGBTQになんで配慮する必要があるんだろう。全く意味がないしムダ。特別能力が優れているわけでもないし、日本では別に差別もない。そら変人扱いはされるだろうよ。
そして、大谷も日本人ではなくアメリカ人としてドジャースでplayすることが求められます。まあ今と変わらないけどね。ドジャースも公式にはっきり書けばいいのにね。長年の伝統なんて無視してトランプに会わないつもりだったんだろうが。
capybara水豚
@_capybara_bara
というだけでなく
先日DEI全消し関連でジャッキー・ロビンソンの功績が消された恨みもあってドジャースファンが結構反対している模様
現政権が称賛するには一番遠いような気もするが
Los Angeles Dodgers
@Dodgers
In keeping with long-standing baseball tradition, President Trump has invited the 2024 World Champion Los Angeles Dodgers to the White House when they play in Washington D.C. on April 7. The Dodgers look forward to visiting the White House and celebrating our title.
In addition, members of the Dodgers will visit Capitol Hill on April 8.
長年の野球の伝統に従い、トランプ大統領は、2024年ワールドチャンピオンのロサンゼルス・ドジャースを4月7日にワシントンDCで試合を行う際にホワイトハウスに招待しました。ドジャースはホワイトハウスを訪問し、タイトル獲得を祝うことを楽しみにしています。
さらに、ドジャースのメンバーは4月8日に国会議事堂を訪問する予定だ。
362 件の表示
日本車メーカー各社にとって、**25%の関税導入による直接的な影響**は輸入車両の価格上昇です。関税分コスト増を価格転嫁すれば、車両価格はモデルによって最大25%近い大幅上昇となり [^1]、**新車需要の急減**を招きます。特に価格に敏感な大衆車セグメントでは購入控えや他社ブランドへの乗り換えが相次ぎ、販売台数が大幅に減少するでしょう。一方、高級車や富裕層向けモデルは価格弾力性が低いため、多少の値上げでも需要への影響は限定的です。このためレクサスやアキュラ等の高価格帯ブランドは販売減少が一桁%に留まる一方で、トヨタやホンダの大衆車セグメントは約2割前後の販売減となるシナリオを想定しました。
各社は関税コストを回避すべく**米国内生産へのシフト**を図りますが、大幅な増産には限界があります。日本メーカーはこれまで15年以上にわたり販売台数の62~68%程度を北米現地生産で賄ってきました [^2]。これは欧州や韓国メーカーより高い比率ですが、それでもなお3~4割は輸入に依存しています [^2]。24か所の米国工場を有するものの [^3]、既存設備の即時フル活用でも増産余地は約15%に過ぎず、**生産能力の制約**がボトルネックとなります [^1]。生産拠点やサプライチェーンは一朝一夕には移管できないため [^1]、短期的には関税によるコスト増がそのまま価格高騰と販売減少に直結するでしょう [^1]。
総じて、**関税導入の短期的影響**として日本車メーカー各社の米国販売は大幅減少し、生産も現地化の範囲内で再配分されるに留まります。米国内生産拡大で一部は補われるものの、需要減による**米国新車市場全体の縮小**は避けられないでしょう。中長期的には各社が北米生産へのさらなる投資を検討する可能性もありますが、設問の前提どおり増設や新規投資を考慮しない場合、2024年時点では現有リソース内での対応となり、市場シェアと収益面で日本メーカーに逆風となるシナリオが予測されます [^1]。関税は国内生産振興策である反面、消費者コスト増と市場停滞を招くリスクが大きく、日系各社の米国事業に大きな試練をもたらす結果となるでしょう。
[^1]: [Automakers warn that Trump tariffs will hike vehicle prices as much as 25% | Reuters](https://www.reuters.com/business/autos-transportation/automakers-warn-that-trump-tariffs-will-hike-some-vehicle-prices-by-much-25-2025-03-04/#:~:text=Sign%20up%20here)
[^2]: [Which Foreign-Owned Carmakers Build the Most in America? | Cars.com](https://www.cars.com/articles/which-foreign-owned-carmakers-build-the-most-in-america-1420663120583/#:~:text=Duncan%2C%20who%20heads%20JAMA%E2%80%99s%20U,nearly%20all%20the%20vehicles%20they)
[^3]: [JAMA in America: Annual Data Release Highlights Japanese-Brand Automakers’ Significant Investment in the U.S. Economy](https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20240403908752/en/JAMA-in-America-Annual-Data-Release-Highlights-Japanese-Brand-Automakers%E2%80%99-Significant-Investment-in-the-U.S.-Economy#:~:text=they%20continued%20to%20expand%2C%20retool%2C,another%20increase%20from%20last%20year)
日系メーカー各社は、米国向け販売を維持するため可能な限り生産を米国内に振り向ける戦略を取ります。ただし米国工場の増産余地は「現状比115%」(約15%の増産)に限られるとの前提であり [^1]、急な需要変動に対して生産体制を即座に移転・拡張することは困難です [^1]。そのため、**2024年の米国内生産台数**は各社とも**最大でも現状比+15%程度**の増産にとどまります。一方、関税適用となる**日本国内(およびその他海外工場)から米国向け輸出台数**は需要減少分と米国増産分だけ縮小し、各社とも輸出台数が大幅に減少する見込みです。メーカー別の生産動向予測は以下の通りです。
[^1]: [Automakers warn that Trump tariffs will hike vehicle prices as much as 25% | Reuters](https://www.reuters.com/business/autos-transportation/automakers-warn-that-trump-tariffs-will-hike-some-vehicle-prices-by-much-25-2025-03-04/#:~:text=Some%20auto%20parts%20can%20cross,more%20times%20before%20final%20assembly)
[^2]: [Which Foreign-Owned Carmakers Build the Most in America? | Cars.com](https://www.cars.com/articles/which-foreign-owned-carmakers-build-the-most-in-america-1420663120583/#:~:text=Duncan%2C%20who%20heads%20JAMA%E2%80%99s%20U,nearly%20all%20the%20vehicles%20they)
カナダ銀行とイングランド銀行の元総裁として、カーニーは世界の金融システムに対して権力を振るった。
彼は国際決済銀行のグローバル金融システム委員会の議長を務め、世界中の中央銀行を運営した。
2019 年 12 月、カーニー氏は国連の気候変動対策および財政担当特使に就任しました。
彼は、ネットゼロ排出、炭素税、国連の持続可能な開発目標を提唱し、権力を持つ少数の人々にのみ利益をもたらすグローバリストのアジェンダを推進しました。
カーニー氏はビルダーバーグ会議(2011年、2012年、2019年)に出席し、三極タスクフォースの一員として、世界のエリート層の利益のために金融の中央集権化に取り組んできた。
彼は単なるプレーヤーではなく、糸を引く人だった。
2020年、カーニーはブルックフィールド・リニューアブルズを所有するブルックフィールド・アセット・マネジメントの副会長でした。
👉CO2税などの政策はブルックフィールドなどの企業に利益をもたらし、一般のカナダ人が費用を負担します。
💰🇨🇦 議題にカナダを売り込む?
トランプの関税に対して、カーニー氏は「貿易ではホッケーと同じようにカナダが勝つだろう」と述べた。
🌐 しかし、世界的な金融機関とのつながりは、彼がカナダの真のニーズよりもグローバリストの利益にはるかに同調していることを示している。
Sputnik India
@Sputnik_India
💰🌐GLOBALIST POWER BROKER
As the former Governor of both the Bank of Canada & the Bank of England, Carney wielded power over global financial systems.
He chaired the Global Financial System Committee at the Bank for International Settlements, running central banks worldwide.
https://x.com/Sputnik_India/status/1900565307799797943
In December 2019, Carney became UN Special Envoy for Climate Change Action & Finance.
Advocating for net-zero emissions, carbon taxes, and the UN's Sustainable Development Goals, he pushed globalist agendas that benefited only the powerful few.
Sputnik India
@Sputnik_India
🌐💼 CARNEY IN THE BILDERBERG ROOM
Carney attended Bilderberg meetings (2011, 2012, 2019) and served on the Trilateral Task Force, working towards financial centralisation in the interest of global elites.
He was not just a player, but the one pulling the strings.
Sputnik India
@Sputnik_India
🚨🇨🇦 CARNEY WINS — CANADIANS LOSE
In 2020, Carney was Vice Chair of Brookfield Asset Management, which owns Brookfield Renewables.
👉Policies like CO2 taxes benefit corporations such as Brookfield while ordinary Canadians foot the bill.
Sputnik India
@Sputnik_India
💰🇨🇦 SELLING CANADA ON THE AGENDA?
In response to Trump’s tariffs, Carney said, “In trade, as in hockey, Canada will win.”
🌐 However, his ties to global financial institutions show he’s far more aligned with globalist interests than with Canada’s true needs.
https://x.com/Sputnik_India/status/1900565302598943227
https://x.com/Sputnik_India/status/1900565307799797943
https://x.com/Sputnik_India/status/1900565323004166641
https://x.com/Sputnik_India/status/1900565327794098466
2016年10月版にも入ってるみたいだけど、2016年ってコロナ前じゃね?
1.3.3.4 Brand Protection and Use of the Visa-Owned Marks
A Member must not use the Visa-Owned Marks:
• In any manner that may bring the Visa-Owned Marks or Visa Inc. or its affiliates into disrepute
• In relation to, or for the purchase or trade of, photographs, video imagery, computer-generated images, cartoons, simulation, or any other media or activities including, but not limited to, any of the following:
- Child pornography
- Bestiality
- Rape (or any other non-consensual sexual behavior)
- Non-consensual mutilation of a person or body part
A Member that does not comply with these requirements will be subject to non-compliance assessments prescribed under the Global Brand Protection Program and/or, in the Europe Region, the Electronic Commerce Merchant Monitoring Program.
Let’s face it: starting a conversation on a dating app can feel terrifying. You see someone you’re interested in, you type out a message, and then… you delete it. “Is this too boring?” “Will they even respond?” “What if I sound awkward?”
We’ve all been there. That first message can make or break your chances of connecting with someone amazing. But here’s the good news: you don’t have to overthink it. With the right opening line, you can spark a conversation that feels natural, fun, and meaningful.
At MixerDates, we believe that every great connection starts with a great conversation. That’s why we’ve put together this guide to help you craft the best dating app opening lines—ones that stand out, show your personality, and lead to real connections. Ready to ditch the “hey” and start making an impact? Let’s dive in!
[:contents]
Before we get into the best opening lines, let’s talk about why your first message is so important.
Your opening line is your chance to make a great first impression. It’s the gateway to a conversation that could lead to something special. A thoughtful, creative message shows that you’re genuinely interested—not just swiping mindlessly.
Your first message sets the tone for the entire conversation. A boring or generic opener might lead to a dull chat, while a fun or intriguing one can spark excitement and curiosity.
Let’s be real: everyone loves feeling special. When you put effort into your opening line, it shows that you care enough to stand out. And on MixerDates, where we value authenticity and positivity, that effort goes a long way.
Now, let’s get to the good stuff—the best dating app opening lines that actually work. These are divided into categories to suit different personalities and situations.
While the examples above are great starting points, the best opening lines are the ones that feel authentic to you. Here are some tips to help you craft your own:
Reference something from their profile—a photo, a hobby, or a shared interest. It shows you’re paying attention and not just copying and pasting.
Avoid heavy or overly serious topics right off the bat. Keep the tone light and playful to make the conversation enjoyable.
Don’t try to be someone you’re not. If you’re naturally funny, lean into that. If you’re more thoughtful, go for a sincere compliment or question.
“Hey” or “What’s up?” might be easy, but they’re also forgettable. Put in a little effort to stand out.
This gives the other person an easy way to respond and keeps the conversation flowing.
At MixerDates, we’re all about creating a positive, inclusive space where you can feel comfortable being yourself. Here’s why our platform is the best place to put these opening lines into practice:
We welcome everyone, no matter who you are or who you love. Our platform is designed to be a safe space where you can connect with like-minded people.
Our users create detailed profiles that make it easy to find shared interests and craft personalized opening lines.
We encourage our community to be genuine and kind, so you can feel confident starting conversations without fear of judgment or rejection.
Don’t just take our word for it—here’s what one of our users had to say:
“I met my partner on MixerDates, and it all started with a simple message about our shared love for travel. The conversation flowed naturally, and the rest is history. I’m so grateful for this platform!”
While a great opening line can spark a conversation, building a real connection takes more than just a clever message. Here are the key elements to look for when seeking a meaningful connection:
A strong connection starts with alignment on the things that matter most. Do you share similar values, life goals, or visions for the future?
Look for someone who is willing to share their thoughts, feelings, and vulnerabilities—and who encourages you to do the same.
Healthy relationships are a two-way street. Both people should be putting in effort to communicate, plan dates, and support each other.
A true connection allows both people to be themselves without judgment. Look for someone who celebrates your uniqueness and encourages you to pursue your passions.
Communication is the foundation of any strong relationship. A mutual connection thrives on honesty, transparency, and the ability to resolve conflicts in a healthy way.
At MixerDates, we’re here to help you find these key elements in a partner. Our platform is designed to connect you with people who share your values and are looking for the same things you are. Starting a conversation on a dating app doesn’t have to be stressful. With the right opening line, you can spark a connection that feels natural, fun, and meaningful. And at MixerDates, we’re here to help you every step of the way.
So, what are you waiting for? Craft that perfect opening line, join MixerDates, and start connecting with people who value authenticity and positivity. Your perfect match is out there—and they’re just one message away.
First dates can be exciting and nerve-wracking all at once. You’re meeting someone new, learning about their interests, and trying to figure out if there’s chemistry between you. And then there’s flirting, that delicate dance of showing someone you’re interested without being too forward or awkward.
Flirting doesn’t have to be a high-pressure situation. In fact, it can be the most fun part of getting to know someone. Whether you're meeting someone on MixerDates or any other platform, the most important thing is to be genuine, stay calm, and let the connection develop naturally.
If you’ve ever found yourself wondering how to flirt on a first date without feeling uncomfortable, you’re not alone. Everyone has their awkward moments, but the more you understand the art of flirting, the easier it becomes. In this article, we’ll break down how to flirt in a way that feels natural, exciting, and authentic to who you are. So, let's dive in and learn how to make the most of your first date experience—without overthinking it.
When it comes to flirting, confidence is key. But what does it really mean to be confident on a first date? Confidence doesn’t mean you need to be perfect, or even outgoing—it simply means being comfortable in your own skin and showing up as your authentic self.
Have you ever noticed how people are drawn to those who radiate self-assurance? It’s not about bragging or dominating the conversation—it’s about presenting yourself with ease. If you feel good about yourself, it will naturally show. A great smile, good posture, and eye contact can go a long way in making a good first impression.
For instance, think about the last time someone walked into a room and immediately caught your attention—not because they were the most attractive person in the room, but because of their energy. They were confident, they were present, and they made you feel at ease. That’s the kind of confidence you want to project on your date.
When you're confident, you're not worried about saying the perfect thing. Instead, you focus on enjoying the moment, making the other person feel comfortable, and letting the connection happen naturally. That’s the magic of confidence—it allows you to be present, fun, and, most importantly, yourself.
Let’s face it—no one wants to feel like they’re being “worked” or put through a game. That’s why subtlety is such a powerful tool when it comes to flirting. It's all about showing interest without being over-the-top or too obvious.
Flirting doesn’t always mean complimenting someone non-stop or using cheesy pickup lines. In fact, the most successful flirting is the kind that happens behind the scenes—subtle, playful, and lighthearted. Think about the little moments, like a teasing comment about how they always order the same thing at a restaurant or the way you laugh at a silly joke they make.
The key is to find a balance. A simple smile or a playful comment can convey interest without being too much. For example, if your date tells you they love hiking but they tend to get lost easily, you could say something like, “So, you’re telling me you need a personal guide? I could get behind that!” It’s lighthearted, humorous, and most importantly, it keeps the conversation fun without putting too much pressure on the situation.
By keeping it subtle, you allow your date to feel at ease. It takes the pressure off them to be perfect and allows both of you to enjoy the interaction more naturally. Flirting doesn’t need to be a performance—it’s about creating an environment where both of you can feel comfortable and authentic.
Now, let’s talk about something incredibly important in the flirting game: active listening. When we’re on a date, we often get caught up in thinking about what to say next, how we’re coming across, or if we’re being interesting enough. But the best way to make an impression? Truly listening to your date.
Active listening means you’re fully engaged in the conversation, giving your date your full attention and responding thoughtfully. It’s about showing that you care about what they’re saying and that you’re genuinely interested in getting to know them better. When you listen actively, you’re also giving them space to open up, and that can create an immediate connection.
For example, if your date mentions they recently traveled to Japan, instead of simply saying, “That’s cool!” you could follow up with something like, “What was the most memorable experience you had there?” This shows that you’re not just hearing their words but are genuinely curious and invested in their experiences. It’s a great way to build rapport and let them know you’re not just there to impress them—you’re there to connect.
While your words are important, body language often speaks louder than anything you can say. Whether you realize it or not, your body is constantly communicating how you feel. How you sit, stand, and move tells your date whether you’re relaxed, engaged, or distracted.
Small gestures can go a long way in flirting. A light touch on the arm, a subtle lean in when they’re speaking, or maintaining good eye contact—all these body language cues help signal your interest. And the great thing is, when done naturally, these cues can be just as effective as words.
For example, if you’re sitting at a café on your date and you lean in slightly when they’re sharing a funny story, you’re not just showing that you’re interested—you’re inviting them into your space. It’s an invitation to connect further. And when they respond by leaning in too, that’s when the magic happens—the unspoken connection that tells you both that there’s potential for more.
Flirting through body language doesn’t mean making grand gestures or being overly touchy. It’s about being present and showing that you’re engaged with your date in a subtle, but meaningful way.
It’s easy to get caught up in overthinking how to flirt or trying to figure out if your date is into you. But here’s a secret—when you let go of the pressure and allow yourself to have fun, everything flows much more naturally. Flirting on a first date doesn’t need to feel like a test or an assignment. It’s supposed to be a fun, lighthearted experience that sets the stage for more great dates ahead.
When was the last time you had a genuinely fun date? Was it when you were trying too hard to impress, or when you were both laughing, chatting, and enjoying each other's company? Flirting becomes effortless when you're present, enjoying the moment, and letting the connection grow naturally.
Sometimes, it's the small moments—like sharing a laugh or swapping embarrassing stories—that make a first date truly special. When you focus on having fun, you create an environment where both of you can relax, flirt, and let the chemistry grow. That’s the secret to a great date.
One of the best things about using a platform like MixerDates is that it takes the guesswork out of the equation. By connecting with someone who already shares your interests and values, you’ve got a head start on making a real connection. No more swiping through countless profiles hoping for a spark—on MixerDates, you already know there’s something in common.
When you’re already on the same page with your date, flirting comes more easily. There’s less of that awkward, “Are we even on the same wavelength?” feeling, and more of the fun, “Wow, we really click!” vibe. Whether you’re talking about favorite hobbies, movies, or life goals, the conversation flows naturally, making the flirting feel effortless.
If you're looking for a place to meet like-minded people and build genuine connections, MixerDates is the perfect platform. It's a great place to find someone who appreciates you for who you are and who you can naturally flirt with, without the stress.
Flirting on a first date is all about confidence, connection, and fun. When you let go of the pressure and focus on enjoying the experience, the chemistry will naturally follow. Remember, the best way to flirt is by being yourself—let your personality shine through, listen with intention, and embrace the moment.
And if you’re ready to meet someone new, who’s just as interested in making a connection as you are, MixerDates is the perfect place to start. So go ahead, take the leap, and see where it leads. Who knows? Your next great connection might be just a click away.
Sign up for MixerDates today and start your journey to exciting first dates and meaningful connections!
やる気があるから動けるんじゃない。動き始めて初めてやる気が湧いてくるんだ。
というのはまあ割とよく言われてる。
やるかやらないかだけ。やってる人間が遡及的に感じる、あるいは外野が見出すのがやる気という幻想。というのが現段階での実証的な考え。
的なことを言ってた。
まあビデオゲームじゃないんだし、ゲージがあってそれが増減するようなパラメータとして存在する訳じゃないのは確かだと思う。
ただ、それじゃあ結局の所「やる」と「やらない」を分かつ要因っていうのは何なのよって思った。そこが一番肝心なんじゃねえの。
実際問題、同じような状況でもやる人間とやらない人間っていうのはやっぱり分かれる。
痩せたいけど運動も食事制限もしんどいから嫌だ、なんてジレンマに悩まされる人間がゴロゴロいる。痩せに向けたアクションを取るか、痩せるのは諦めて現状を維持するかの二つに一つ。
後者に走りがちではあるが、前者を取る人間もいる。全ての要素が同じなら結果も同じなのだろうから、何かが違うに違いない。
そこでやる気なる概念を持ち出せないのなら、何が決定的な要因なのか。
意志とか決意とかなんてのも同じような内容を指す言い換えの表現でしかないだろうし、やる気など無いと言うのならそれってもう自由意志の否定と同義なのではないか。
まあおれも自然法則から独立した意志の力なる聖域があるともあんまり思ってないけど。選択をしている意識があるという実感くらいは大切にしたいが……
痩せようとする人間もそうでない者も、その選択は全て所与の必然の連鎖に従った運命だったという事になるのか。
はいそうです。運命です。と露悪的に開き直るのが割と最近のトレンドにあるような気がする。
社会の制度や規範は依然選び取る力を前提に構築されてるし、その辺はあんまり触れたくない所なんだろうけど。
開き直るのが良いのか目を逸らすのが良いのかは分からんな。バランスか。
まあ巷で言われてるようなのは生まれ育った環境だとかにおいて個人が抱く社会への無力感や、自分では選べない生得的な要素へのコンプレックスだとかで、決定論めいた世界観に基づく根本的な諦念めいたものとはまたちょっと違うか。
意外と自由意志そのものには疑いを持ってないのかもしれない。一応チャンスはあるけどそんなものはほとんど役に立たないんだ!そんなもんを持ち出して自己責任論を偉そうに展開するな!的な怒りか。
おれはあんまりそういう考えには与しないが。チャンスが本当にあるならいいじゃん。結果がどうあれその道を選び取った自分を愛せれば美しい生き方だろ。望む結果が得られたら勿論万々歳だし。と思う。
実は抗う機会を選び取るか否か、そもそも選択肢があったかのように思えた場面も含めて全て筋書きの範疇に過ぎない、ってんならあんまりにもじゃないですか……とは思うが。
痩せる方法なんかネットで調べりゃいくらでも効率的なセオリーが出てくる。プロミュージシャンや金持ちを目指すアプローチだってなんぼでもある。
ただいくら効率的だろうが再現性が高かろうが、それが実行・実践されなければ何の意味もない。まず実行というハードルがある。
でもやりたいと思った事を即座にやれるような活力溢れる人間ばかりでもない。
じゃあ実行する具体的な方法論は?
小さなハードルから越えていく。自分で自分に制約を課す。他人の力を借りる。
じゃあそれを実行する具体的な方法論は?
それは……そんなもん、お前そんくらいのやる気が無いなら止めちまえ!とやはり根性論に走らざるを得ない部分というのはあると思う。
その程度のモチベーションならそれはやりたいと思っていないという事だ、なんて言った所でもやはり根性論めいた話の域を出ない。
ただしやる気など存在しない……
とか色々考えてると、que sera seraとかwhatever will be will beみたいな言葉だったり、個を全の一部と位置付ける東洋思想だったりがスッ……と染み渡ってくる。
否応なく抱いてしまう決定論的な世界観と主体的な納得や満足の実感との両立は理屈の問題ではない気がするが、理屈の問題ではないも気付くのにも理屈を捏ねるのは役立つのかもしれない。
Please consider the histroy of humanity from biological perpsecitve and current known fact in nearby universe, which expo-planet (from the Sol system perspective) is most likely to have civlizaed society? Please add percentage next to it in the chart
ChatGPT
Reasoned about exoplanet civilization likelihoodを28 秒行う
Evaluating planetary prospects
OK, I’m looking at the likelihood of a civilized society on an exoplanet within our Solar System. I’ll consider biological history and current space knowledge, aiming to identify the most promising candidate.
Identifying potential candidates
I'm considering exoplanets like Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1e, which might suggest they are within or observed from our Solar System.
Assessing potential candidates
I’m evaluating Proxima Centauri b, Barnard's Star, LHS 1140, and TRAPPIST-1, focusing on their habitable zones and available data. The Drake equation might help estimate their civilized society likelihoods.
Identifying promising exoplanets
I’m noting key exoplanets like Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1, which have Earth-like characteristics and are in habitable zones. This narrows down the potential candidates for advanced civilizations.
I'm gathering info on planets like Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1, considering factors like magnetic fields, atmospheres, and proximity to G-type stars for their potential to support advanced civilizations.
Evaluating exoplanet prospects
I'm noting that Proxima Centauri b, despite being close and around a red dwarf star, might support life if it has a magnetic field and atmosphere. This makes me think about its potential.
Charting probabilities
I'm estimating civilization probabilities for exoplanets like Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1 e, using speculative percentages based on the Drake equation and the lack of evidence for intelligent life.
I'm crafting a chart with exoplanet names and civilization likelihood percentages, grounded in the long timeline of life's evolution, despite the speculative nature of these figures.
Identifying exoplanet contenders
I’m evaluating exoplanets like Proxima Centauri b, TRAPPIST-1 e, and Kepler-186f, considering their star types and distances, to gauge their potential for supporting advanced civilizations from our solar system's viewpoint.
Weighing proximity and observation
I'm leaning towards Proxima Centauri b due to its closeness and observational potential, despite concerns about its flare star dynamics. TRAPPIST-1 e, f, or g are also worth considering.
I'm focusing on exoplanets like Proxima Centauri b, Ross 128 b, LHS 1140 b, TRAPPIST-1 e/f/g, and K2-18b, aiming to chart their likelihood of hosting a civilized society based on current knowledge.
Assessing exoplanet potentials
I'm gathering speculative probabilities for exoplanets like Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1 e/f/g, using the Drake equation and current understanding, to better estimate their chances of hosting a civilized society.
Refining speculative probabilities
I’m refining speculative probabilities for exoplanets, including Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1 e/f/g, to estimate their chances of hosting a civilized society, considering Earth's long biological history.
Refining odds
I'm considering the astronomical timeline for intelligent life on Earth, leading me to assign even lower speculative odds for exoplanets like Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1 e.
I’m crafting a simplified chart with arbitrary percentages, clearly noting the speculative nature and lack of scientific data, while considering the target audience's basic understanding of the topic.
I’m charting arbitrary percentages for exoplanets, clarifying their speculative nature, and ensuring the data is accessible for young audiences with minimal scientific detail.
Crafting a chart
I’m creating a markdown table with speculative percentages for the likelihood of civilized life on exoplanets, emphasizing their purely theoretical nature and considering the understanding level of an 8-year-old.
Integrating speculative analysis
I’m mapping out a markdown chart with speculative percentages for the likelihood of a civilized society on exoplanets, mindful of the complexity and simplifying for an 8-year-old's understanding.
I’m piecing together markdown for exoplanets, noting Proxima Centauri b's reduced civilized life chance due to the red dwarf's activity. This inclusion highlights the speculative nature of the analysis.
Piecing together speculative odds
I’m detailing a markdown chart for audience-friendly exoplanet likelihoods, considering environmental challenges and adding a disclaimer about the speculative nature and lack of evidence.
Piecing together
I’m leaning towards Proxima Centauri b for its proximity and silent star, but I’ll add a speculative chart ranking nearby exoplanets, noting their advanced civilizations' hypothetical likelihood.
Assessing civilization probabilities
I'm emphasizing the slow emergence of intelligent life on Earth, which suggests that the odds of any habitable planet developing a complex civilization might be as low as a few percent.
Below is a very speculative chart that—based on what we know about Earth’s long, winding path from simple life to a “civilized society” and our limited observations of nearby exoplanets—gives some fun, made‑up percentage chances for a few of our best candidate exoplanets. Remember: Scientists have not yet found any proof of life (let alone advanced civilizations) on any exoplanet. These numbers are just playful estimates to help you think about the ideas!
Speculative Chances of Finding an Advanced Civilization on Nearby Exoplanets
Exoplanet Estimated Likelihood of a Civilized Society
Proxima Centauri b ~2%
LHS 1140 b ~0.5%
How Did We (Very Roughly) Guess These Numbers?
Earth’s Example:
On Earth, life began as simple single‑celled organisms and took billions of years to evolve into a species that built complex societies. This long journey suggests that—even if a planet is in the “habitable zone” (where liquid water could exist)—developing an advanced, civilized society might be rare.
Proxima Centauri b:
This is the closest exoplanet to us. Even though its star (Proxima Centauri) is a red dwarf that sometimes sends out strong flares (which might harm life), its closeness makes it one of our most interesting candidates. That’s why we give it a slightly higher guess (~2%).
These planets are part of a group orbiting a very cool star. Their environments might be challenging (for example, they could be tidally locked, meaning one side always faces the star), so the chance of a complex, advanced civilization might be a bit lower.
LHS 1140 b:
This planet is promising in some ways but is a little farther away and around a dimmer star, so our playful estimate is even lower.
All of these percentages are extremely rough guesses based on what little we understand about the conditions for life and intelligence. Scientists use ideas like the Drake Equation to think about these chances—but until we have concrete evidence, these numbers remain just for fun and imagination.
Enjoy exploring these ideas—and remember, space is full of mysteries waiting to be discovered!
あなた:
Please examine the Drake Equation itself and see if this euqation is acculate or more opition in the equation you will use
ChatGPT
Reasoned about the Drake Equationを6 秒行う
re-examining the Drake Equation
evaluating the Drake Equation's value
OK, let me see. The Drake Equation isn't a precise formula; it's more of a guiding heuristic that tackles numerous uncertainties regarding extraterrestrial civilizations.
Thinking through the Drake Equation, I’m evaluating its conceptual nature, its uncertain parameters, and its criticism to conclude on its reliability as an accurate predictive model.
Understanding the Drake Equation
I’m mapping out the Drake Equation as a conceptual guide, detailing its parameters, which are often based on estimates or opinions, to evaluate its reliability for predicting extraterrestrial civilizations.
The Drake Equation is a famous formula that was created to help scientists think about the many factors involved in estimating the number of detectable extraterrestrial civilizations in our galaxy. However, when we look at the equation closely, we see that it is more of a conceptual framework or heuristic tool than a precise, predictive formula. Let’s break down why:
The equation is usually written as:
𝑁
=
𝑅
∗
×
𝑓
𝑝
×
𝑛
𝑒
×
𝑓
𝑙
×
𝑓
𝑖
×
𝑓
𝑐
×
𝐿
N=R
∗
×f
p
×n
e
×f
l
×f
i
×f
c
×L
Where:
𝑅
∗
R
∗
: The average rate of star formation per year in our galaxy.
𝑓
𝑝
f
p
: The fraction of those stars that have planetary systems.
𝑛
𝑒
n
e
: The average number of planets that could potentially support life per star with planets.
𝑓
𝑙
f
l
: The fraction of those planets where life actually develops.
𝑓
𝑖
f
i
: The fraction of planets with life where intelligent life evolves.
𝑓
𝑐
f
c
: The fraction of civilizations that develop technology that releases detectable signals into space.
𝐿
L: The length of time such civilizations release detectable signals.
Why the Drake Equation Is More of a Guideline Than a Precise Formula
Uncertain Inputs:
𝑅
∗
R
∗
𝑓
𝑝
f
p
(fraction of stars with planets), have become better known through modern astronomy.
The parameters related to the development of life and intelligence—
𝑓
𝑙
f
l
,
𝑓
𝑖
f
i
,
𝑓
𝑐
f
c
, and
𝐿
L—are based on very limited data. For example, Earth is the only planet we know where life has developed, so we have no way to compare or derive a statistically robust estimate for these factors. This means that the values chosen for these parameters are largely subjective estimates or educated guesses.
Wide Ranges of Possible Values:
Because many of these factors are not well-constrained, if you change one of the more uncertain parameters even slightly, the final estimate for
𝑁
N (the number of civilizations) can vary by many orders of magnitude. This wide range shows that the equation can lead to very different outcomes based on personal or theoretical assumptions.
The Drake Equation was never meant to provide a precise answer. Instead, it serves as a way to organize our thinking about what conditions might be necessary for the development of extraterrestrial civilizations. It encourages discussion about the relative importance of different factors and highlights where our scientific knowledge is limited.
Is the Drake Equation Accurate or More Opinion-Based?
Accurate?
In the sense of being a strict mathematical model with well-defined inputs and predictable outputs, the Drake Equation is not accurate. Its accuracy is limited by the extreme uncertainties in several of its key parameters.
Many of the terms in the equation, especially those concerning the evolution of life and intelligence, are based on opinion, interpretation, and the single example of Earth. Therefore, while the structure of the equation is logical, the numbers you put into it (and hence the final result) are often more reflective of our current opinions and assumptions than of robust empirical data.
The Drake Equation is a valuable tool for framing the question of extraterrestrial life. It helps scientists and enthusiasts break down a complex problem into smaller, more manageable questions. However, because several of its factors are highly uncertain and subject to personal interpretation, it is more of a conceptual guide—or even a way to stimulate discussion—than a formula that provides a definitive, accurate prediction of the number of extraterrestrial civilizations.
In summary, while the Drake Equation is useful for thinking about the various factors that might lead to the emergence of a civilization, its outputs should be taken as highly speculative estimates rather than precise measurements.
あなた:
Please also consider the possiblities of non-human intelligent emrgencing from the long history of Sol system and nearby planets and see if there is any possiblites that in one time intelligent life emerged in nearby planets and see this to the equation
ChatGPT
Reasoned about non-human intelligence and the Drake Equationを19 秒行う
Evaluating non-human intelligence
I'm thinking about the potential for non-human intelligent life forms in the Sol system and neighboring planets, and how this might factor into the equation.
Piecing together possibilities
I'm thinking about how to integrate the emergence of non-human intelligent life, possibly on Mars or Europa, into the Drake Equation for the Sol system and neighboring planets.
It's interesting to think about the hypothesis of intelligent life emerging on Mars or Venus, though Earth remains the only known life-supporting planet in the solar system.
Considering other realms
I'm examining if intelligent life could have emerged on planets like Mars, Venus, or Europa, and how this possibility aligns with the predictions of the Drake Equation.
Hmm, I’m thinking about how non-human intelligent life on Mars or Venus could intersect with the assumptions of the Drake Equation, which seems to focus solely on Earth-based evolution.
I’m piecing together the hypothesis of non-human, advanced, intelligent life in the solar system. Mars, Venus, and Titan present challenges, but Europa and Enceladus might harbor microbial life.
Please consider the histroy of humanity from biological perpsecitve and current known fact in nearby universe, which expo-planet (from the Sol system perspective) is most likely to have civlizaed society? Please add percentage next to it in the chart
ChatGPT
Reasoned about exoplanet civilization likelihoodを28 秒行う
Evaluating planetary prospects
OK, I’m looking at the likelihood of a civilized society on an exoplanet within our Solar System. I’ll consider biological history and current space knowledge, aiming to identify the most promising candidate.
Identifying potential candidates
I'm considering exoplanets like Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1e, which might suggest they are within or observed from our Solar System.
Assessing potential candidates
I’m evaluating Proxima Centauri b, Barnard's Star, LHS 1140, and TRAPPIST-1, focusing on their habitable zones and available data. The Drake equation might help estimate their civilized society likelihoods.
Identifying promising exoplanets
I’m noting key exoplanets like Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1, which have Earth-like characteristics and are in habitable zones. This narrows down the potential candidates for advanced civilizations.
I'm gathering info on planets like Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1, considering factors like magnetic fields, atmospheres, and proximity to G-type stars for their potential to support advanced civilizations.
Evaluating exoplanet prospects
I'm noting that Proxima Centauri b, despite being close and around a red dwarf star, might support life if it has a magnetic field and atmosphere. This makes me think about its potential.
Charting probabilities
I'm estimating civilization probabilities for exoplanets like Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1 e, using speculative percentages based on the Drake equation and the lack of evidence for intelligent life.
I'm crafting a chart with exoplanet names and civilization likelihood percentages, grounded in the long timeline of life's evolution, despite the speculative nature of these figures.
Identifying exoplanet contenders
I’m evaluating exoplanets like Proxima Centauri b, TRAPPIST-1 e, and Kepler-186f, considering their star types and distances, to gauge their potential for supporting advanced civilizations from our solar system's viewpoint.
Weighing proximity and observation
I'm leaning towards Proxima Centauri b due to its closeness and observational potential, despite concerns about its flare star dynamics. TRAPPIST-1 e, f, or g are also worth considering.
I'm focusing on exoplanets like Proxima Centauri b, Ross 128 b, LHS 1140 b, TRAPPIST-1 e/f/g, and K2-18b, aiming to chart their likelihood of hosting a civilized society based on current knowledge.
Assessing exoplanet potentials
I'm gathering speculative probabilities for exoplanets like Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1 e/f/g, using the Drake equation and current understanding, to better estimate their chances of hosting a civilized society.
Refining speculative probabilities
I’m refining speculative probabilities for exoplanets, including Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1 e/f/g, to estimate their chances of hosting a civilized society, considering Earth's long biological history.
Refining odds
I'm considering the astronomical timeline for intelligent life on Earth, leading me to assign even lower speculative odds for exoplanets like Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1 e.
I’m crafting a simplified chart with arbitrary percentages, clearly noting the speculative nature and lack of scientific data, while considering the target audience's basic understanding of the topic.
I’m charting arbitrary percentages for exoplanets, clarifying their speculative nature, and ensuring the data is accessible for young audiences with minimal scientific detail.
Crafting a chart
I’m creating a markdown table with speculative percentages for the likelihood of civilized life on exoplanets, emphasizing their purely theoretical nature and considering the understanding level of an 8-year-old.
Integrating speculative analysis
I’m mapping out a markdown chart with speculative percentages for the likelihood of a civilized society on exoplanets, mindful of the complexity and simplifying for an 8-year-old's understanding.
I’m piecing together markdown for exoplanets, noting Proxima Centauri b's reduced civilized life chance due to the red dwarf's activity. This inclusion highlights the speculative nature of the analysis.
Piecing together speculative odds
I’m detailing a markdown chart for audience-friendly exoplanet likelihoods, considering environmental challenges and adding a disclaimer about the speculative nature and lack of evidence.
Piecing together
I’m leaning towards Proxima Centauri b for its proximity and silent star, but I’ll add a speculative chart ranking nearby exoplanets, noting their advanced civilizations' hypothetical likelihood.
Assessing civilization probabilities
I'm emphasizing the slow emergence of intelligent life on Earth, which suggests that the odds of any habitable planet developing a complex civilization might be as low as a few percent.
Below is a very speculative chart that—based on what we know about Earth’s long, winding path from simple life to a “civilized society” and our limited observations of nearby exoplanets—gives some fun, made‑up percentage chances for a few of our best candidate exoplanets. Remember: Scientists have not yet found any proof of life (let alone advanced civilizations) on any exoplanet. These numbers are just playful estimates to help you think about the ideas!
Speculative Chances of Finding an Advanced Civilization on Nearby Exoplanets
Exoplanet Estimated Likelihood of a Civilized Society
Proxima Centauri b ~2%
LHS 1140 b ~0.5%
How Did We (Very Roughly) Guess These Numbers?
Earth’s Example:
On Earth, life began as simple single‑celled organisms and took billions of years to evolve into a species that built complex societies. This long journey suggests that—even if a planet is in the “habitable zone” (where liquid water could exist)—developing an advanced, civilized society might be rare.
Proxima Centauri b:
This is the closest exoplanet to us. Even though its star (Proxima Centauri) is a red dwarf that sometimes sends out strong flares (which might harm life), its closeness makes it one of our most interesting candidates. That’s why we give it a slightly higher guess (~2%).
These planets are part of a group orbiting a very cool star. Their environments might be challenging (for example, they could be tidally locked, meaning one side always faces the star), so the chance of a complex, advanced civilization might be a bit lower.
LHS 1140 b:
This planet is promising in some ways but is a little farther away and around a dimmer star, so our playful estimate is even lower.
All of these percentages are extremely rough guesses based on what little we understand about the conditions for life and intelligence. Scientists use ideas like the Drake Equation to think about these chances—but until we have concrete evidence, these numbers remain just for fun and imagination.
Enjoy exploring these ideas—and remember, space is full of mysteries waiting to be discovered!
あなた:
Please examine the Drake Equation itself and see if this euqation is acculate or more opition in the equation you will use
ChatGPT
Reasoned about the Drake Equationを6 秒行う
re-examining the Drake Equation
evaluating the Drake Equation's value
OK, let me see. The Drake Equation isn't a precise formula; it's more of a guiding heuristic that tackles numerous uncertainties regarding extraterrestrial civilizations.
Thinking through the Drake Equation, I’m evaluating its conceptual nature, its uncertain parameters, and its criticism to conclude on its reliability as an accurate predictive model.
Understanding the Drake Equation
I’m mapping out the Drake Equation as a conceptual guide, detailing its parameters, which are often based on estimates or opinions, to evaluate its reliability for predicting extraterrestrial civilizations.
The Drake Equation is a famous formula that was created to help scientists think about the many factors involved in estimating the number of detectable extraterrestrial civilizations in our galaxy. However, when we look at the equation closely, we see that it is more of a conceptual framework or heuristic tool than a precise, predictive formula. Let’s break down why:
The equation is usually written as:
𝑁
=
𝑅
∗
×
𝑓
𝑝
×
𝑛
𝑒
×
𝑓
𝑙
×
𝑓
𝑖
×
𝑓
𝑐
×
𝐿
N=R
∗
×f
p
×n
e
×f
l
×f
i
×f
c
×L
Where:
𝑅
∗
R
∗
: The average rate of star formation per year in our galaxy.
𝑓
𝑝
f
p
: The fraction of those stars that have planetary systems.
𝑛
𝑒
n
e
: The average number of planets that could potentially support life per star with planets.
𝑓
𝑙
f
l
: The fraction of those planets where life actually develops.
𝑓
𝑖
f
i
: The fraction of planets with life where intelligent life evolves.
𝑓
𝑐
f
c
: The fraction of civilizations that develop technology that releases detectable signals into space.
𝐿
L: The length of time such civilizations release detectable signals.
Why the Drake Equation Is More of a Guideline Than a Precise Formula
Uncertain Inputs:
𝑅
∗
R
∗
𝑓
𝑝
f
p
(fraction of stars with planets), have become better known through modern astronomy.
The parameters related to the development of life and intelligence—
𝑓
𝑙
f
l
,
𝑓
𝑖
f
i
,
𝑓
𝑐
f
c
, and
𝐿
L—are based on very limited data. For example, Earth is the only planet we know where life has developed, so we have no way to compare or derive a statistically robust estimate for these factors. This means that the values chosen for these parameters are largely subjective estimates or educated guesses.
Wide Ranges of Possible Values:
Because many of these factors are not well-constrained, if you change one of the more uncertain parameters even slightly, the final estimate for
𝑁
N (the number of civilizations) can vary by many orders of magnitude. This wide range shows that the equation can lead to very different outcomes based on personal or theoretical assumptions.
The Drake Equation was never meant to provide a precise answer. Instead, it serves as a way to organize our thinking about what conditions might be necessary for the development of extraterrestrial civilizations. It encourages discussion about the relative importance of different factors and highlights where our scientific knowledge is limited.
Is the Drake Equation Accurate or More Opinion-Based?
Accurate?
In the sense of being a strict mathematical model with well-defined inputs and predictable outputs, the Drake Equation is not accurate. Its accuracy is limited by the extreme uncertainties in several of its key parameters.
Many of the terms in the equation, especially those concerning the evolution of life and intelligence, are based on opinion, interpretation, and the single example of Earth. Therefore, while the structure of the equation is logical, the numbers you put into it (and hence the final result) are often more reflective of our current opinions and assumptions than of robust empirical data.
The Drake Equation is a valuable tool for framing the question of extraterrestrial life. It helps scientists and enthusiasts break down a complex problem into smaller, more manageable questions. However, because several of its factors are highly uncertain and subject to personal interpretation, it is more of a conceptual guide—or even a way to stimulate discussion—than a formula that provides a definitive, accurate prediction of the number of extraterrestrial civilizations.
In summary, while the Drake Equation is useful for thinking about the various factors that might lead to the emergence of a civilization, its outputs should be taken as highly speculative estimates rather than precise measurements.
あなた:
Please also consider the possiblities of non-human intelligent emrgencing from the long history of Sol system and nearby planets and see if there is any possiblites that in one time intelligent life emerged in nearby planets and see this to the equation
ChatGPT
Reasoned about non-human intelligence and the Drake Equationを19 秒行う
Evaluating non-human intelligence
I'm thinking about the potential for non-human intelligent life forms in the Sol system and neighboring planets, and how this might factor into the equation.
Piecing together possibilities
I'm thinking about how to integrate the emergence of non-human intelligent life, possibly on Mars or Europa, into the Drake Equation for the Sol system and neighboring planets.
It's interesting to think about the hypothesis of intelligent life emerging on Mars or Venus, though Earth remains the only known life-supporting planet in the solar system.
Considering other realms
I'm examining if intelligent life could have emerged on planets like Mars, Venus, or Europa, and how this possibility aligns with the predictions of the Drake Equation.
Hmm, I’m thinking about how non-human intelligent life on Mars or Venus could intersect with the assumptions of the Drake Equation, which seems to focus solely on Earth-based evolution.
I’m piecing together the hypothesis of non-human, advanced, intelligent life in the solar system. Mars, Venus, and Titan present challenges, but Europa and Enceladus might harbor microbial life.
Halo Finally Looks Set to Make the Jump to PlayStation This Year
Microsoft is seemingly ready to launch its flagship Xbox video game series Halo on rival platforms for the first time, including PlayStation and Nintendo Switch 2.
Leaker NateTheHate, who this week reported that Nintendo is set to reveal Switch 2 on January 16, also reported in a separate podcast that Microsoft will finally bring Halo to PlayStation in the form of a PlayStation 5 port of Halo: The Master Chief Collection, as well as a release on Switch 2. Windows Central’s Jez Corden subsequently corroborated the report.
マイクロソフトは、主力の Xbox ビデオゲーム シリーズ Halo を、PlayStation や Nintendo Switch 2 などの競合プラットフォームで初めてリリースする準備が整ったようです。
今週、任天堂が1月16日にSwitch 2を発表する予定であると報じたリーカーのNateTheHateは、別のポッドキャストで、マイクロソフトがついにHaloをPlayStationに持ち込み、Halo: The Master Chief CollectionのPlayStation 5移植とSwitch 2のリリースを行うとも報じた。その後、Windows CentralのJez Cordenがこの報道を裏付けた。
一部では今月下旬から来月上旬にかけて「STATE OF PLAY」が公開されるとかいう噂も出始めたし、そのタイミングで発表されるのかな
興行収入の話で、ハリウッドの大きな節目は9.11だったと思っていて、ちょっと確認してみた。
当時の印象だと、事件の直後は様々な映画の公開が延期されたりキャンセルされたりして、その後数年は戦争・アクション物に偏重し、結果としてハリウッド映画の定番ジャンルの一角だったラブロマンス・コメディ映画が激減していったというイメージ。
ほかにも大作指向のような業界動向や様々な社会情勢も影響していたとは思うけど、やはり9.11が一つのターニングポイントだったと思う。日本での洋画ヒットが減っていった遠因のひとつもこのあたりにあるのではないか?
以下のリストはChatGPT調べ。
以下のリストは、主に Box Office Mojo 等のデータ(全米興行収入・未調整値)をもとにした、
「アメリカ(北米)国内での年間興行収入ランキングトップ20」
参考・補足
いずれも 北米(アメリカ&カナダ)での累計興行収入 を概算で示しています。
順位や金額は、後年の再上映や細かな集計の修正によって若干入れ替わることがあります。
上記はあくまで「製作年」ではなく「北米公開年」を基準とし、その年に公開された作品の最終的な国内興行収入をもとにしたランキングです(年をまたいで興収を伸ばした作品も含みます)。
Take a good look—this is the LDP. A rotten ship through and through. The hull is riddled with holes, the deck is stacked with decayed planks, and the crew talks big about their voyage while steering aimlessly. They don’t even know where they’re headed—just waiting for the inevitable sinking. And what about the passengers? A chosen few lounge in luxury cabins, sipping on fine drinks, while the rest shiver on the exposed deck, battered by wind and rain. Yet, no one dares to abandon the ship. Why? Because there’s no other vessel in sight.
Those people, they claim, “We are the pillar that upholds this nation.” But that pillar is infested with termites, reduced to nothing but a hollow shell. They mask the stench of decay with flashy decorations and smooth words, and the public, gullible as ever, eats it up. This, too, is part of the sickness afflicting the country.
Defense, the economy, countermeasures for the declining birthrate—they shout these slogans at every turn, but the truth is, they’re all empty promises. Everything they touch reeks of graft, cronyism, and self-enrichment. No matter how much the people suffer, it’s of no concern to them. Every election, they trot out crowd-pleasing phrases, gather the votes, and voilà—the same faces, the same farce, over and over again.
But doesn’t it strike you as strange? Why do we keep boarding this doomed ship? Why is no one speaking up? Watching a sinking ship and doing nothing but praying won’t change a thing. If the ship is broken, we need to build a new one. If no one else will do it, then we’ll have to take the helm ourselves.
LDP, your time is up. No matter how many rotten planks you patch onto this ship, it’s destined to sink. That’s just the way of things.
----------
はてなの匿名ダイアリーの増田になった気分で,作文して.内容は,自民党を腐す感じ.ですます調は禁止.タイトルもつけて.
自民党という名の腐った船 見てくれ、これが自民党だ。まるで腐った船。船体には穴が空き、甲板には腐った木材が積まれ、乗員たちは口先だけで航海を語る。どこに行くのかも知らず、ただ沈むのを待つだけ。乗客たちはどうだ?選ばれた少数は船室で酒を酌み交わし、残りは甲板で雨風に打たれている。それでも、みんなこの船から降りようとはしない。なぜなら他に船がないからだ。 あの連中は言う。「我々こそがこの国を支える柱だ」と。しかしその柱は白蟻に喰われて、ただの見せかけになっている。腐敗臭を隠すために、華やかな装飾を加え、言葉巧みに煙に巻く。それを鵜呑みにする国民もまた、この国の病巣だ。 防衛だ、経済だ、少子化対策だと喚くけれど、その実、中身は空っぽだ。何をやっても中抜き、天下り、自分たちの懐を肥やすだけ。どれだけ国民が苦しもうと、彼らは関係ない。選挙のたびに耳触りの良いフレーズを掲げ、票を掻き集める。そして、気がつけば同じ顔ぶれ。同じことの繰り返し。 でもおかしいと思わないか?なぜこんな船にいつまでも乗り続けているのか。なぜ誰も声を上げないのか。沈みゆく船を見て、ただ祈るだけでは何も変わらない。船が壊れているなら、新しい船を造ればいい。誰もそれをしようとしないなら、俺たちがやるしかない。 自民党よ、お前たちの時代は終わった。いくら腐った木材を継ぎ足そうと、この船は沈む。それが自然の摂理だ。
おk.これを英語にして
https://www.aide-sociale.fr/reforme-rsa/
The most important consideration that will be required of beneficiaries of the SSA is the obligation to “work” at least 15 hours a week.
This obligation shall be fixed on a range of 15 to 20 hours of professional activity.
In other words, the RSA shall be paid provided that a minimum of 15 hours of weekly activity is carried out.
うーん、素人が検索して拾い読みしているだけだが、「RSAが週15時間の労働を条件に支給されるようになった」のは今年からなのでは?Togetterのまとめに大きな問題はなさそうに思えたが。
●●●の娘「入社してしばらくは暇でした」
年間休日=休み多いじゃないから、実態なんて働かなきゃわからん…
↓
早稲田卒
「朝の7時前には出勤して
夜の12時まで帰してくれない
本当の男女平等を味わう」
最初の指示
「お前
午後10時前に
家に帰ろうなんて思うなよ!」
tinyurl.com/shinsotsu
激務エピソード
月4回の休日出勤
bit.ly/3wbfA0I
朝3時まで狭いプロジェクトルームで作業して、次の日は6時から7時の間に出勤が当たり前
当時同期で入社した200人近い中途の仲間は誰もこの会社に残っていません
tinyurl.com/zangyou
良くて3時か4時くらい、下手すると6時くらいに終わる
tinyurl.com/gozen3ji
夜中1時、2時まで、朝はなぜか7時集合
同期は全員辞めてると思う
bit.ly/3l05Z86
bit.ly/3yA1mcy
bit.ly/3wHGJHp
三●物●が新社長を発表!私大出身者の社長”ゼロ”の壁は壊せたか?
bit.ly/3i2gSFU
bit.ly/2U7ojOR
帝大65円 早慶55円
bit.ly/2ryVtbO
tinyurl.com/idoujikan
深夜3時までは働きます
それでも、翌朝も午前中に会社にこなければいけない
日付変わって帰るとかざら
tinyurl.com/mrx8426y
デスクワーク本当に多い
tinyurl.com/3fpj9jys
朝だいたい6時半ぐらいに起きていました
tinyurl.com/2ccnuxyc
bit.ly/2Gbk4wd
tinyurl.com/nemawasi
bit.ly/3bXmzkn
商社の何が辛いって、
仕事量が多いとか、
飲み会が多いとかではなく、
基本決定権が無い点
商流的に真ん中にいるので
決めるのは、
無論、若手に
社内の決裁権はない
調整、管理、
書き物をひたすらやります
tinyurl.com/kakimono
誰でもできるような仕事を大量に任される
tinyurl.com/y8kw52x2
与えられた仕事を
bit.ly/2uwinCk
自分で大きな決定できるようになるまで、
うまくいっても制度的に
tinyurl.com/nijyuunen
71%のケースにおいて即決で融資を実行
bit.ly/3NbOQUK
銀行員を辞めたい銀行員へ贈る!銀行員を辞めてよかったこと100個!
ノルマを達成するために
よく休日出勤や
夜間営業
1枚巻物は2mほどの長さになり、書くのに大体30分
tinyurl.com/noruma
昼メシは座って食べるな!
夜中3時ぐらいまで仕事するじゃないですか
bit.ly/39aQDuv
朝4時32分
tinyurl.com/ypsdcshz
多分200連勤ぐらいしたりとか
50人いて一人ぐらいしか5年後には残ってない
bit.ly/3wf8rg9
bit.ly/3FyoaLq
銀行員 同期100人いた場合50才で銀行本体残るのは1人の例も
bit.ly/3yt3Eu0
出向
年収は半減
bit.ly/3whuTVY
8時に出社して、21時に退社
9割の取引が、コンピューターによる高速では無い物を含めた自動取引
bit.ly/3N9jKNL
bit.ly/3vHDsc6
bit.ly/3M1sSUd
bit.ly/37y18aV
夜中の2時、3時で
朝7時とかに出社しなきゃいけなかったり
6年目以降は入ってこない?
bit.ly/3krr3SN
他にもスーツ、お節、家電、食料、ケータイ、弁当等、ありとあらゆるものを年中購入させられます
多分歯切れの悪い反応をすると思います
bit.ly/3v3WZ7D
車やスーツを自腹買い
bit.ly/3S30Fis
本社勤務の時には、
土日も出勤
支社や営業所で
朝8時には会社にいる?
忙しいと22時まで残業?
bit.ly/3nwjrS6
tinyurl.com/3774hs3y
tinyurl.com/vfjtpjw4
キャンピングカーワーク
日が昇る前に海へ出かけて早朝から車内で仕事をして、昼前にサーフィン
tinyurl.com/campingcarwork
bit.ly/3wfSrdD
tinyurl.com/ycxak3uz
tinyurl.com/5n8hmhka
dailymotion.com/video/x5jufm0
949日÷365日=生涯通勤は2.6年
tinyurl.com/tsuukinjikan
ストレスは、
機動隊の隊員よりも高く、
ジェットコースターが落下する寸前の2倍以上と試算される」
bit.ly/3ersMdc
年収800万円以上のITエンジニアは95%以上がリモート勤務
ここ数年本当に生活が充実してる
年に約3週間、
生涯では約2.6年の
サバティカル休暇にしよう!
bit.ly/3ap8GtC
tinyurl.com/section-chief
朝の7時前には出勤して夜の12時まで帰してくれない
本当の男女平等を味わう
「意外と長時間労働の会社」実名公開!有名企業50社を総力調査
●●不動産
連日の徹夜勤務
tinyurl.com/zangyojikan
225社の36協定で判明
3代に渡り、
70年も
tinyurl.com/yrk4342n
報酬が7億8700万円
トップと社員(従業員平均年収647万円)の「年収格差」は122倍
tinyurl.com/2d7vf9ru
社内政治というのは
前者の人の言うことだけを聞いて判断できない
bit.ly/2ruvbHw
bit.ly/38lPel6
非常に嫌われていた
tinyurl.com/kamenronin
推薦・内部組のほうが
なるほどと思った
tinyurl.com/ryuunen
仮面浪人の成績が
フル単か
留年の
二極に分かれる現象
本学の学部全体で最も成績が良い層は
何らかの選択過程を通過した人・物・事のみを基準として判断を行い、
その結果には該当しない人・物・事が見えなくなることである
tinyurl.com/seizonsha-bias
爆撃機の装甲を厚くすべきなのは「対空砲火を受けた場所」と「受けていない場所」のどちらか?
tinyurl.com/sentaku-bias
常に分母は何かを考えよ
「早稲田政経は、短期間に簡単にAO合格可能なことを正直に暴露した勇気ある著者」
tinyurl.com/hensachi40
私、おバカですが、何か?―
【偏差値40の三流短大卒フリーター、25歳で早大に入学する!】
tinyurl.com/hensachi
tinyurl.com/goukakuline
偏差値も上昇したのです」
tinyurl.com/suisennado
日米の組織には大きな差がなかったのですが、ものすごく大きな差が出たのは
「信賞必罰」
bit.ly/2wyebne